Banking has more AI in production than any other industry we index.

It also has the widest gap between what is announced and what is running. This is what the register holds on banking: 64 vendors, 1,340 customer claims, and the 407 of those that an organization has confirmed.

9 categories
Finding

Three in ten banking claims survive contact with the customer

Of claims taken to the organization named in them, most confirm a relationship. Far fewer confirm a deployment past one business unit.

Register edition 2026.4  ·  compiled 18 Oct 2026

64
vendors indexed in banking and capital markets
1,340
customer claims captured
407
confirmed by the organization named in them
9
categories inside the industry
The industry

Why banking looks further ahead than it is

Banks have been running machine learning in production for two decades, which makes the industry genuinely more advanced than most and also makes it easy to mistake that inheritance for progress on the current wave.

The inheritance is real

Fraud scoring, credit models, surveillance and anti-money-laundering have been model-driven since long before the current cycle. Banks have model risk functions, validation practice and regulators who already know how to ask about a model, which is a starting position most industries do not have.

The new work is concentrated in text

Almost everything deployed since 2024 touches documents, cases or conversations rather than numbers. Credit memos, onboarding packs, complaints, alerts, disputes. The bank's existing model governance was built for scores, not for language, and that mismatch is where most programs slow down.

Deployment stops at the business unit boundary

The most common pattern in the register is a deployment that works in one country, one product line or one operations centre, and has not crossed into the next one eighteen months later. The constraint is rarely the model and almost always the process variation underneath it.

The regulator is not the blocker people claim

Supervisory expectation shapes the sequence, not the ceiling. Banks that moved fastest treated explainability, audit trail and human override as design inputs from the first week rather than as a gate to clear at the end.

Inside the industry

Nine categories, and they are not moving at the same speed

Vendor counts, claims captured, and how many of those claims an organization has confirmed. Absence of confirmation is as much a finding as its presence.

How a claim is confirmed
CategoryVendorsClaims ConfirmedDeepest stage established
Document and submission processing14 312118 Full deployment
Financial crime and AML operations11 24196 Full deployment
Contact centre and servicing13 26884 Full deployment
Credit and lending operations9 16451 Partial deployment
Payments and disputes8 12129 Partial deployment
Risk, compliance and controls10 11818 Partial deployment
Wealth and advisory support7 639 Partial deployment
Capital markets operations6 382 Yet to start
Agentic customer operations12 150 Yet to start

Read the last two rows carefully. Twelve vendors are selling agentic customer operations into banking and not one claim has yet been confirmed by the organization named in it. That is not a verdict on the category. It is a statement about what exists today.

How we work with banks

Two ways to engage us, and two things included with either

Everything rests on the same register. We do not introduce you to vendors, take referral fees, or accept sponsorship from anyone selling into banking.

Category review

Commissioned. Every vendor in a banking category, every claim across them, and where the working deployments sit. Published like any other determination.

Register access

Included with guidance. Search every banking vendor and claim, filter by stage and currency, export the data, and get alerted when a determination lands or lapses.

The evidence, in four charts

What 1,340 banking claims look like when you follow them through

Every number below is a count from the register, not a survey, an estimate or a projection. Quote them with the edition and date attached.

How a claim is examined
Figure 1

Thirteen per cent of banking claims are confirmed running at full scale

Each step is the subset of the one above it that survived the next layer of evidence.

Register edition 2026.4, compiled 18 October 2026. n = 1,340 captured claims in banking and capital markets.
Figure 2

Confirmation rate varies eightfold across banking categories

Share of captured claims that an organization has confirmed.

Confirmed divided by captured, per category. Hover a bar for the counts.
Figure 3

Where the fifty use cases actually sit

Stage mix within each of the six groups.

Live now Getting started 2027 to 2028
Fifty tracked use cases. Stage is the deepest the register can confirm.
Figure 4

The sequence most banks get backwards

Where each horizon sits in time, and how much confirmed evidence stands behind it today.

Horizon windows are the Forum's recommended sequence. Evidence counts are confirmed deployments in the register as at 18 October 2026.
The use-case map

Fifty banking AI use cases we track

Six groups, fifty use cases, and against each one the stage the register can currently confirm. Live means a confirmed full deployment exists somewhere. Getting started means partial deployments exist. The third label is our forecast, and we mark it as one.

The maturity map

Counts and stages are drawn from register edition 2026.4, compiled 18 October 2026. A use case marked 2027 to 2028 has no confirmed full deployment anywhere in the register today, and our view is that the remaining constraint is technical rather than organizational.

The maturity map

Where banking actually sits, function by function

Each cell is the number of confirmed deployments the register holds at that stage for that function. Read across a row to see how far a function has got. Read down a column to see how thin the right-hand side still is.

Claimed only
Pilot or yet to start
Partial deployment
Full deployment
Operations and servicing
38
51
44
31
Financial crime
29
40
37
19
Lending and credit
44
42
23
6
Payments
31
27
14
4
Risk and compliance
47
26
9
2
Technology and engineering
12
22
33
21
Wealth and advisory
26
18
7
1
Capital markets
24
11
3
0
Thin Moderate Substantial Dense Counts are confirmed deployments in the register as at 18 October 2026, not market estimates.
The diagonal is the story.

Operations, financial crime and engineering carry weight on the right-hand side. Lending, risk and capital markets are still concentrated on the left, which means claims rather than deployments.

Risk and compliance is the sharpest gap.

Forty-seven claimed against two at full deployment. More vendors sell into this function than into any other, and almost nothing has crossed the line.

Capital markets has no full deployment at all.

Not one confirmed deployment at full scale anywhere in the register. If a vendor tells you otherwise, ask them to put the claim forward.

The constraint

What actually stops banking deployments, in the order it stops them

Drawn from the enquiries behind confirmed and unconfirmed claims. Regulation is on this list, but it is not at the top of it.

01

Process variation across business units

The deployment works where it was built and meets a different version of the same process in the next country or product line. Most stalled banking programs stall here.

02

Data residency and lineage

Not whether data can be used, but proving where it went and who touched it. Deployments designed without lineage from day one get rebuilt rather than extended.

03

Model governance built for scores

Validation practice that works for a credit model does not transfer cleanly to a language system, and the committee that must approve it has no precedent to work from.

04

Ownership after go-live

The program team hands over to an operations function that was not resourced for it. Six months later usage is flat and nobody can say whether it worked.

Start

Bring us the banking decision in front of you

A shortlist, a category you are about to enter, or a program that stopped moving. We will tell you what the register can answer, what it cannot, and which of our services fits. If none of them does, we will say that.

First session inside three working days Confidential, never shared with a vendor

For banks and institutions. Vendors selling into banking should look at verification or briefings instead.

Questions

What banks ask about this page

From the register. Every claim is captured from a vendor's own published material, and the confirmed ones have been taken to the organization named in them and answered under anonymity. Counts are as at the compilation date on the page, not estimates, projections or survey responses.

Because no claim in that category has yet been confirmed by the organization named in it. Twelve vendors are selling it into banking and fifteen customer claims exist, all at Level 1. That may change next quarter. It has not changed yet, and we would rather print a zero than imply otherwise.

No. It means no vendor has published a claim that has been confirmed at that stage. Banks that built it internally are not in the register, because the register is a record of vendor claims rather than a census of the industry. Internal builds are a real gap in this view and we say so rather than pretending otherwise.

It carries an edition number and a compilation date, and it is rebuilt every quarter. Individual determinations underneath it carry their own dates and lapse to unconfirmed after twelve months, which is why the counts move down as well as up.

Either we have not opened a record on them yet or they sit outside the five technology categories we cover. Request them and we will open a record, capture every customer claim on their site and publish it. That is free and usually complete inside ten working days.

Yes, and it is the only part of this page that is. It reflects our judgement about where the remaining constraint is technical rather than organizational, and we revise it each edition. Everything in the first two groups is a record of what has happened, not a view about what will.

Yes, and the register records the region of every organization that answered. Confirmed deployments in the register currently skew to North America and Western Europe, with a growing share in the Gulf, India and Southeast Asia. Region-level breakdowns sit behind register access.

Yes. A shortlist check takes the vendors in front of you and runs every claim each of them makes in your category through the method, with the determinations and the full log returned to you and published to the register like any other.

Before the next banking AI decision goes to committee

Check what the register holds on the vendors in front of you, commission a category review, or bring the decision into a room with your own leadership team.

Issued by Global AI Forum, an independent enterprise research body Banking and capital markets, register edition 2026.4 Compiled 18 October 2026  ·  next edition January 2027
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